Tuesday Service Play Thread 08/31/2021

[BuzzKill]

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

Posting guidelines - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1168075

Please do not post Twitter plays or forum member plays in this thread.

Do Not Post these services:
SportsLine
The Wise Guy Team
Winning Sports Plays[FONT=wf_segoe-ui_normal]
[/FONT]
Do not post write-ups:
AJ Apollo
Alex Smart
@ntonwins
Apple Handicappers
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
ATS Consultants
ATSadv ice.com
Ben Lewis
Brandon Lang's Crew
Bruce Marshall
Chris Jordan's Crew
Dave Cokin
Dennis Hill
Dennis Macklin
Doc Sports Handicappers
Dr. Bob Sports
Dr. guru sports
EZ Winners
Fairway Jayr
Fred Wallin
Gametimereport
Greg DiPalma
Hittingpaydirt
JB Sports
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Jorge Gonzalez
Ken Jenkins
Killersportslive
Larry Ness
Lenny Delgenio
LT Profits
Lucky Lester
Madduxsports
Marc Lawrence/Playbook
Matt Fargo
Mike Lineback
Mike Rose
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
PayneInsider
Paul Stone
Peter Gold at VI
Pick Nation Crew
PlusLineSports
Pointwise Sports
PowerPlay Wins
Preferred Picks
Pregame
Pro Sports Info
Red Zone Sports
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Rocky Atkinson
Ron Raymond
Ross Benjamin
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Scott Spreitzer
Sixth Sense Sports
Sports Memo Crew
Steve Merril SportsAlatex Sports
Stevo Design Inc. All services
Ted Sevransky/Teddy Covers
Tennessee Valley Sports
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
The Prez
The Real Animal
Tony George
Tony Karpinski/3G-Sports
Tom Stryker
Trushel Sports Consulting
Vegasadvisor s.com
Vernon Croy

 

[BuzzKill]

Tokyo Brandon

(304659) KIA Tigers at (304660) Doosan Bears
Game: (304659) KIA Tigers at (304660) Doosan Bears
Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Play Rating: E%
Play: Doosan Bears -155
Pinnacle has this at 155 but it will probably go to 170 or so by the end of the day. Take it. Doosan has the SP, bullpen and lineup advantages here. Kia has the worst lineup and worst bullpen in the league. Dan Mengden is their SP which is why you can get a decent number on this but Mengden has struggled badly lately and his reputation is better than his results. Miranda on the other hand has been stellar and his numbers are just as good as advertised. His K:BB rate is immaculate and his record vs Kia is great. Take Doosan on the money line.

(304657) NC Dinos at (304658) SSG Landers
Game: (304657) NC Dinos at (304658) SSG Landers
Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Play Rating: D%
Play: 1H NC Dinos -148
Drew Rucinski has been a little shaky lately but SSG's SP Choi Min Jun is terrible. He ranks 80 out of 93 SPs with a 6.22 career ERA and a 6:6 K:BB ratio. The #1 lineup in Japan should be woken from their slump facing this stiff. Take the defending champs on the 1st 5 money line. -148 at Pinnacle might be gone soon but anything -170 or better is good for a money line 1st 5 play.

(304137) Orix Buffaloes at (304138) Nippon Ham Fighters
Game: (304137) Orix Buffaloes at (304138) Nippon Ham Fighters
Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 12:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: 1H Nippon Ham Fighters Total Over 1.5 (+100)
The Fighters are the best hitting team this last week and they face a pitcher in Yamazaki who has a 6+ ERA against them in 2 starts. My numbers have this total at 2.3 so make a small 2% play on Nippon Ham getting 2 runs in the first five innings.

Hiroshima Carp at Yokohama BatStars
Game: Hiroshima Carp at Yokohama BatStars
Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 4:45 AM EDT
Play Rating: C%
Play: Hiroshima Carp Total Over 3.5 (-110)
My number have Hiroshima scoring 4.2 in this one which is worth a 3% play. Yokohama SP Hamaguchi is bad, and he is backed by an even worst bullpen. The Carp have been hitting well lately and this is a hitter's park. They also have 9 at bats. Take the Carp Over 3.5 for anything -130 or better.

(304141) Seibu Lions at (304142) Chiba Lotte Marines
Game: (304141) Seibu Lions at (304142) Chiba Lotte Marines
Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 4:45 AM EDT
Play Rating: D%
Play: 1H Seibu Lions Total Over 1.5 (-120)
Pinnacle has this at 120 now but it could drop to -140 or so. That's ok play it. The Lions are hitting great right now and Mima can not get his mechanics right. He has allowed 28 RUNS in his last 4 starts. The Lions hot him for a 3.80 ERA and 1.5 is a low hurdle to clear for a 1st 5.

(304147) Chunichi Dragons at (304148) Hanshin Tigers
Game: (304147) Chunichi Dragons at (304148) Hanshin Tigers
Date/Time: Aug 31 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: C%
Play: 1H Hanshin Tigers -150
Hanshin SP Aoyagi has been great this season and especially great vs Chinichi. The Dragons are the worst hitting team in the league and should be held under 1 in the 1st 5 here. The Tigers are the best 1st 5 hitting team and certainly should be able to get a run in the 1st 5 off of Fukutani. Take Hanshin on the 1st 5 money line. Pinnacle is offering it at 150 but anything 170 or better is good.

 

[BuzzKill]

Matt Severance

CHI. CUBS @ MINNESOTA | 08/31 | 8:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -140
ANALYSIS: I haven't faded my Cubs for a while! Pitcher Zach Davies has not been good this month, going 0-3 with a 7.94 ERA. Chicago is 1-8 in its past nine vs. the American League and 1-8 in its past nine series openers. The Twins actually will finish August with a winning record, their first winning month of the year. They are 6-1 in their past seven at home vs. right-handers. I expect this ML to rise to around -160ish by the morning.

N.Y. YANKEES @ L.A. ANGELS | 08/31 | 9:38 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -121
ANALYSIS: The Angels just announced that Shohei Ohtani will not pitch Tuesday night (he will be able to DH through a minor injury), so this moneyline is clearly going to rise overnight with Jaime Barria (2-2, 5.56) taking his place. It's Jameson Taillon for the Yanks. He is 7-0 with a 3.05 ERA in his last 13 starts, allowing three earned or fewer in 11 of those.

 

[BuzzKill]

over3goals

Denmark ~ Landspokal Cup
Kolding IF – Esbjerg
Over 3 @ 2.00

 

[BuzzKill]

pickstennis

WTA – SINGLES: US Open (USA)
Kontaveit – Stosur
Under 18.5

 

[BuzzKill]

totalgoalsvip

ENGLAND : National League
Stockport – Grimsby
Bet : 2 or 3 goals
Odd: 2.00

 

[jpearl]

Vernon Croy- Nationals -120 (4U)

 

[jpearl]

Jason Sharpe- Tigers +105 (7U)

 

[jpearl]

East man- Angels +1.5 +105 (3U)

 

[BuzzKill]

Pickswise Sports

MLB C* Best Bets
White Sox -1.5 runs (-157)
Blue Jays - 1.5 runs (-155)

 

[BuzzKill]

The Prez

D% - SD Padres RL, Action

 

[BuzzKill]

Tony George

G Units - #903 / #904 Philly / Washington (Over 9.5) *7 EST

 

[BuzzKill]

MLB Sharp Action

6:40 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals (67-63) at Cincinnati Reds (71-62)

Both of these NL Central rivals are battling for Wild Card spots. The Reds currently occupy the second Wild Card spot but the Cardinals are on their heels, just 2.5-games back. St. Louis took last night's series opener 3-1, cashing as big + 185 road dogs. The Cardinals are now 3-1 over their last four games while the Reds have dropped three straight. In tonight's rematch, St. Louis hands the ball to righty Miles Mikolas (0-1, 2.70 ERA) and Cincinnati counters with veteran righty Sonny Gray (6-6, 3.91 ERA). This line opened with the Reds listed as a moderate -140 home favorite and the Cardinals a + 130 road dog. The public is split down the middle and doesn't know who to take. But pros seem to be buying low on the Reds, steaming Cincinnati up from -140 to -150. Home favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 343-216 (61.4%) this season. The Reds are 43-30 as a favorite. The Cardinals are 26-35 as a dog. Cincinnati will lean on their bats in this one. The Reds are hitting .250, which ranks 6th-best in MLB. The Cardinals are hitting .239, which ranks 18th. Cincinnati is 8-6 against St. Louis this season. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game. The total is 9 with the under juiced to -120, signaling a possible fall to 8.5. The forecast calls for low 70s with wind blowing in at 5 MPH. Cory Blaser, the home plate ump, is roughly 54% to the under.

8:10 p.m. ET: Chicago Cubs (57-75) at Minnesota Twins (58-73)

This Interleague showdown features a pair of teams who are well out of playoff contention. In tonight's series opener, Chicago hands the ball to righty Zach Davies (6-10, 5.00 ERA) and Minnesota sends out fellow righty John Gant (0-2, 6.75 ERA). This line opened with the Twins listed as a -140 home favorite and the Cubs a + 130 road dog. The public sees two bad teams and isn't very interested in getting down on this game. But pros see an edge with the home favorite Twins, steaming Minnesota up from -140 to -160. Non-division home favorites are 423-265 (61.5%) this season. If they're in the "sweet spot" of -150 to -175 they improve to 91-53 (63.2%). Minnesota is 44-43 against righties. Chicago is 39-55 against righties. The Twins are hitting .242, which ranks 13th in MLB. The Cubs are hitting .231, which ranks 28th. Chicago is just 24-43 on the road. Wiseguys are leaning toward a higher scoring game as the total is 9.5 with the over juiced to -115. Minnesota is 74-49 to the over, one of the best over teams in MLB.

8:10 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates (48-83) at Chicago White Sox (76-56)

This Interleague matchup is as lopsided as it gets. The Pirates sit in last place in NL Central and own the 4th-worst record in MLB. Meanwhile, the White Sox lead the AL Central by double-digit games and are poised for a deep postseason run. In tonight's series opener, Pittsburgh taps righty Bryse Wilson (2-5, 4.35 ERA) and Chicago counters with fellow righty Lucas Giolito (9-9, 3.68 ERA). This line opened with the White Sox listed as a hefty -250 home favorite and the Pirates a + 225 road dog. Pros aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. Despite the expensive price, they're backing the far superior team at home, steaming Chicago up from -250 to -300. Big home favorites -200 or more are 165-64 (72.1%) this season. Interleague favorites -200 or more are 20-8 (71%). Chicago is 64-35 as a favorite, including 39-21 (65%) as home favorites. Pittsburgh is 42-79 as a dog. The White Sox are 54-41 against righties. The Pirates are just 37-53 against righties.

 

[BuzzKill]

Robert Ferringo

WNBA
3u Connecticut -9

 

[BuzzKill]

Dave Essler

3* GOM
Tigers +105

 

[BuzzKill]

Master Sports

MLB
C* #911/912 Braves/Dodgers under 8

 

[BuzzKill]

Elite Sports Picks

L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) -165 over Atlanta (Morton)

 

[BuzzKill]

Insider Sports Report
D* Houston (McCullers) -150 over Seattle (Kikuchi)
Range: -135 to -175
C* Cincinnati (Gray) -145 over St. Louis (Mikolas)
Range: -125 to -165
C* Oakland (Irvin)/Detroit (Skubal) UNDER 9
Range: 9.5 to 8.5

National Sports Service
D* Philadelphia (Moore) -115 over Washington (Corbin)
C* San Diego (Snell) -160 over Arizona (Gallen)

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> San Diego (Snell) -160 over Arizona (Gallen)
C Unit --> Chicago Cubs (Davies) +130 over Minnesota (Gant)
C Unit --> Milwaukee (Woodruff)/San Francisco (Wood) UNDER 7.5

Top Rank Sports Picks
D★ Cincinnati (Gray) -145 over St. Louis (Mikolas)
C★ L.A. Angels (Ohtani) +110 over N.Y. Yankees (Taillon)

 

[BuzzKill]

Totals 4 U

2021 Major League Primetime Shootout of the Year
San Diego/Arizona over 8 1/2

MLB Baseball Bonus Winners
St Louis/Cincinnati under 9
Philadelphia/Washington over 9
Atlanta/LA Dodgers under 8
Colorado/Texas over 8 1/2

 

[Laupau]

Vernon Croy WNBA
D* OVER 165.0 / Phoenix Mercury - Chicago Sky